MyDD :: North Carolina, Montana Ras. Polls

North Carolina, Montana Ras. Polls

by alex100, Sat Apr 12, 2008 at 11:58:25 AM EST

North Carolina (Rasmussen):
McCain 47% Obama 47%
McCain 51% Clinton 40%

Montana (Ras):
McCain 48% Obama 43%
McCain 54% Clinton 36%

PA (Ras):
Clinton 47% McCain 38%
Obama 47% McCain 39%

Louisiana (Ras):
McCain 52% Obama 41%
McCain 58% Clinton 36%

Ohio (Ras):
McCain 47% Clinton 42%
McCain 47% Obama 40%

NM (Ras):
Obama 45% McCain 42%
McCain 46% Clinton 43%

Wisconsin (WPR):
Obama 46% McCain 42%
McCain 46% Clinton 42%

NY (Maris ?):
Clinton 48% McCain 46%
McCain 48% Obama 46%

Iowa (Ras):
Obama 46% McCain 42%
McCain 51% Clinton 36%

FL (Q):
McCain 46% Obama 37%
Clinton 44% McCain 42%

NJ (Farleigh Dickinson):
Obama 47% McCain 42%
Clinton 48% McCain 43%

Tags: Poll, polls, clinton vs. mcCain, obama vs. Obama, general election (all tags)

Permalink :: 14 Comments :: Post a Comment

Re: North Carolina, Montana Ras. Polls (none / 0)

Both candidates tied against McCain in NY?

Color me suspicious of that one. Other than that, no surprises.

by BlueinColorado on Sat Apr 12, 2008 at 12:38:32 PM EST

Re: North Carolina, Montana Ras. Polls (none / 0)

It shows Obama (as of today) is a better general election candidate.

by mefck on Sat Apr 12, 2008 at 12:43:09 PM EST

Re: North Carolina, Montana Ras. Polls (none / 0)

Well, actually, no. It shows Obama losing both New York and Florida, and Clinton winning both of them. I don't think the other states that Obama wins and Clinton loses make up for those two electoral giants.

Now, if you're saying that the results in Florida and New York will change by November, well I suggest the results in other states will too. You can't have it both ways.

by markjay on Sat Apr 12, 2008 at 12:54:18 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: North Carolina, Montana Ras. Polls (none / 0)

That Marist poll is incorrectly cited. The poll said, "Obama/Clinton v. McCain/Rice" or "Clinton/Obama v. McCain/Rice." It posited a Rice VP slot for McCain. That's all.

by elrod on Sat Apr 12, 2008 at 01:08:17 PM EST
[ Parent ]

That's false. (none / 0)

You are wrong here. The Marist poll ALSO polled match-ups with Rice as VP, but the numbers that are cited here are those of the straight-up match-up between the presidential candidates (without Rice or any other VP).

Check it out for yourself: http://www.maristpoll.marist.edu/nyspoll s/GV080409.htm

by LeftistAddiction on Sat Apr 12, 2008 at 01:18:34 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: North Carolina, Montana Ras. Polls (none / 0)

Do you know about "margins of error"? Clinton and Obama are both pretty much tied against McCain in NY. I find the poll dubious, probably an outlier, but shouldn't Clinton be doing better in her "home" state? I can imagine the howling and screaming here if Obama polled like that in Illinois.

As to Florida, again: MOE. She's tied with McCain. I don't think she can win it in the general, especially once her "good friend" Joe Lieberman moves there to campaign for McCain.

If you look at the electoral maps, Wisconsin does put Obama over 270 against McCain ( and I think he'll take New Hampshire and Michigan as well). She needs Florida (where, again, she's tied against McCain) just to lose by twenty EVs).

by BlueinColorado on Sat Apr 12, 2008 at 01:12:53 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: North Carolina, Montana Ras. Polls (none / 0)

if Clinton won the nomination and the GOP feared that FL was in danger of going to Clinton, who thinks Crist would not be the VP choice? FL is going red IMO. Regardless of the nominee.

by alex100 on Sun Apr 13, 2008 at 12:36:18 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: North Carolina, Montana Ras. Polls (2.00 / 1)

If you guys think Obama will lose New York you are complete idiots.

by DemGenii on Sat Apr 12, 2008 at 12:57:44 PM EST

Re: North Carolina, Montana Ras. Polls (none / 0)

Indeed there are no other polls out there suggesting that Obama could be vulnerable in NY.

BUT there is a consistent stream of polls that show him struggling in Massachusetts.

by LeftistAddiction on Sat Apr 12, 2008 at 01:19:55 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: North Carolina, Montana Ras. Polls (none / 0)

That will change

http://www.imvotingrepublican.com/ McCain Sucks!

by yitbos96bb on Sat Apr 12, 2008 at 01:32:56 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: North Carolina, Montana Ras. Polls (none / 0)

Because you say so?

See RCP's blog today about how an Obama vs. McCain matchup in Massachusetts will be a very close race.

by arkansasdemocrat on Sat Apr 12, 2008 at 02:13:44 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: North Carolina, Montana Ras. Polls (none / 0)

I think the most interesting thing to consider when looking at state polls is whom can be helped at the lower level. For senate we all know Warner wins in VA regardless of nominee. Obama seems to help in CO, LA, MN, OR and AK. Clinton doesn't seem to clearly help any one senatorial race. What about at the house level? State congresional levels? Where do these candidates have their longest coat-tails?

by alex100 on Sun Apr 13, 2008 at 12:47:30 AM EST

You are not logged in.

In order to post a comment, you must be logged in. If you have a member account, please log in to comment.

If not, you can make an account right here. It's quick and free.